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Month: June 2011

Playing at Home

Playing at Home

The often used phrase “sovereign debt-crisis” happily lumps the PIIGS (Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain) into the same collective boat, but each national crisis has its own characteristics that make the likelihood of default different from country to country. For Greece, fiscal adjustment is the key issue, as the government has been extravagantly fire-hosing the public sector with borrowed money for some time. For Portugal, however, the key problem is the private sector’s continuing external deficit: the government debt…

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Derived and Contrived

Derived and Contrived

The current notional value of outstanding global financial derivative contracts stands at close to $600 trillion. That’s quite a figure; roughly ten times annual global GDP. Only 10% of these derivatives flow through regulated exchanges, with 90% traded “over-the-counter” on a bilateral basis between institutions. At the moment there is little reliable information on what goes on in the “OTC” market. From a risk perspective current proposals to increase transparency and adjust capital requirements make good sense. On the flipside, if…

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